MARKET INTELLIGENCE/Last updated Q4 2026

Collaborative Combat Aircraft Market 2026: CCA Programmes

The US Air Force put collaborative combat aircraft into production on 17 June 2026, ordering at least 150 General Atomics FQ-42A and Anduril FQ-44A by the end of the decade against a cost goal of roughly less than USD 30 million a tail. SNS Insider values the market at USD 900 million in 2025, rising to USD 2.8 billion by 2035 at 12% a year, and MarketsandMarkets reaches a similar figure. Increment 2 has nine vendors in concept refinement and a pool of more than 20 eligible for the design phase.

OVERVIEW

A collaborative combat aircraft (CCA) is a large uncrewed jet designed to fly alongside crewed fighters as an autonomous or semi-autonomous wingman, carrying sensors, weapons or electronic-attack payloads at a fraction of a fighter's cost. The Congressional Research Service describes CCAs as large uncrewed aircraft powered by jet engines and records a 2023 Air Force statement of notional plans to eventually acquire 1,000 CCAs, two for each of about 500 advanced crewed fighters. Two published market studies reviewed for this page agree on scale: SNS Insider values the market at USD 900.0 million in 2025 and USD 2,795.3 million by 2035 (12.0% CAGR, 2026 to 2035), and MarketsandMarkets estimates approximately USD 0.9 billion in 2025 reaching around USD 2.8 billion by 2035. The US Air Force's June 2026 award, at least 150 aircraft, is the production commitment covered on this page; Australia's MQ-28, the UK's Brontanax, Helsing's CA-1 and two self-funded US primes are behind it.

AT A GLANCE

Market size 2025
USD 900.0 million (SNS Insider); approximately USD 0.9 billion (MarketsandMarkets)
Forecast
USD 2,795.3 million by 2035, 12.0% CAGR (SNS Insider); around USD 2.8 billion by 2035 (MarketsandMarkets)
USAF Increment 1
At least 150 FQ-42A and FQ-44A combined by the end of the decade; roughly less than USD 30 million per tail (Air & Space Forces Magazine, 17 June 2026)
USAF Increment 2
Nine vendors in concept refinement, roughly six targeted for prototyping, 20-plus eligible (DefenseScoop, Aviation Today)
Long-term objective
Notional 1,000 CCAs, two per advanced crewed fighter (Congressional Research Service)

THE US PROGRAMME ARCHITECTURE

Increment 1 is in production. Air & Space Forces Magazine reported that the Department of the Air Force announced on 17 June 2026 that it had awarded both General Atomics and Anduril engineering and manufacturing development and production contracts, that the YFQ-42A and YFQ-44A will become the FQ-42A and FQ-44A, and that the Air Force will officially build at least 150 CCAs combined by the end of the decade in the first increment. Colonel Timothy Helfrich, portfolio acquisition executive for fighters and advanced aircraft, said the air vehicle contracts were awarded four months ahead of schedule and that the service is meeting or exceeding its goal of one-third the cost of an F-35, or roughly less than USD 30 million per tail. The total contract value is classified. Both designs advance together rather than through a down-select.

Increment 2 is in concept refinement. DefenseScoop reported on 30 July 2026 that the Air Force is working with nine vendors it has not named to outline concepts and define requirements, with approximately 10 months left on the concept-refinement contract, and that Helfrich said the service is shooting for roughly six vendors in early prototyping next year. Aviation Today reported in June 2026 that all 20-plus industry partners in the vendor pool will have the opportunity to compete for the next design phase. Helfrich described Increment 2 aircraft as optionally attritable rather than purely expendable, and John Sneden, the propulsion acquisition executive, said the requirements will be greater than for Increment 1, with clean-sheet engines under consideration and preliminary propulsion design running through May 2027 across Beehive Industries, Honeywell, Pratt & Whitney, GE Aerospace, Kratos and Rolls-Royce.

Funding, per the Congressional Research Service, was USD 711.7 million in discretionary research funding for fiscal 2025 plus USD 678 million in mandatory funding from the reconciliation act, and USD 126.4 million in discretionary funding requested for fiscal 2026 (USD 111.4 million research and USD 15 million procurement), for a total identified fiscal 2026 figure of USD 804.4 million including the mandatory money. The original 2024 design contracts went to Anduril, Boeing, General Atomics, Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman.

THE CONTENDERS BEHIND INCREMENT 1

Two US primes that did not win Increment 1 are building aircraft on their own money, and Boeing is bringing the MQ-28 from its Australian programme. The Air Force assigned the designation YFQ-48A to Northrop Grumman's Project Talon prototype on 22 December 2025, a semi-autonomous prototype intended as a fighter per The Aviationist, which the UK Defence Journal described as a semi-autonomous low-cost platform intended to operate alongside crewed fighters, and Brigadier General Jason Voorheis said the approach is meant to foster competition, drive industry innovation and deliver technology at speed and scale. The Aviationist reported on 3 October 2026 that the internally funded YFQ-48A, now named Talon Blue, had completed its first fully autonomous flight from the Mojave Air and Space Port, including taxi, take-off, in-flight manoeuvres and landing.

Lockheed Martin is building five Vectis aircraft including the initial prototype, using its own funds, with first flight scheduled for late 2027, according to Dan Tenney, the company's senior vice-president for global business development and strategy, as reported by Janes on 7 October 2026. Boeing's MQ-28 Ghost Bat, developed with Australia, closed out 2025 with an AIM-120 shot from a Ghost Bat flying with F/A-18s and an E-7, and Boeing Australia expects the operational version to be flying for the Royal Australian Air Force by 2028, per Aviation Week as cited by the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics.

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EUROPE

BAE Systems unveiled Brontanax at the Farnborough International Airshow on 22 July 2026, the UK's first sovereign collaborative combat aircraft, developed by its FalconWorks division at Warton: a low-observable delta-wing aircraft with a maximum take-off weight of more than five tonnes and an internal weapons bay, self-funded with several hundred million pounds since 2022 according to the company, and positioned to fly initially alongside Typhoon and later the GCAP fighter. Drone Intelligence's briefing on the aircraft is linked below.

Helsing unveiled the CA-1 Europa in September 2025. The War Zone reports a weight of around 8,800 pounds and a length of around 36 feet, a loyal-wingman role working with crewed platforms, a first flight planned for 2027 and operational service before 2031, with the company saying it will invest hundreds of millions of euros in the project. BAE describes Brontanax as self-funded and Helsing says it will invest hundreds of millions of euros in the CA-1, and both are bets that the European fighter fleets, Typhoon, Rafale and GCAP, will buy uncrewed wingmen the way the US Air Force now has.

MARKET STRUCTURE

SNS Insider's report, last updated 27 July 2026, puts the market at USD 900.0 million in 2025 and USD 1,008.0 million in 2026, reaching USD 2,795.3 million by 2035 at a 12.0% CAGR over 2026 to 2035. It records airframe and platform hardware as the largest component segment in 2025, the air force as the largest end user, and training, test and tactics development as the largest mission role, which is consistent with a market still in the prototype and early-production phase. MarketsandMarkets' September 2026 estimate is approximately USD 0.9 billion in 2025 reaching around USD 2.8 billion by 2035 at about 12%. Both are vendor forecasts; this page has not reviewed their methodologies, and the classified Increment 1 contract value cannot be checked against either.

Twenty companies appear on SNS Insider's list: Lockheed Martin, General Atomics Aeronautical Systems, Anduril, Boeing Defense Space & Security, Kratos, Northrop Grumman, RTX (Collins Aerospace), L3Harris, Textron Systems, BAE Systems, Leonardo, Dassault Aviation, Saab, Israel Aerospace Industries, Elbit Systems, Turkish Aerospace Industries, Shield AI, AeroVironment, Sierra Nevada Corporation and QinetiQ. The structural point is that the two production contracts went to Anduril and General Atomics, with Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin self-funding aircraft to compete for Increment 2.

Published collaborative combat aircraft market estimates, as reviewed October 2026.
PublisherEstimateForecastCAGRReport date
SNS InsiderUSD 900.0 million (2025); USD 1,008.0 million (2026)USD 2,795.3 million (2035)12.0% (2026 to 2035)Last updated 27 July 2026
MarketsandMarketsApproximately USD 0.9 billion (2025)Around USD 2.8 billion (2035)About 12%Published 17 September 2026

REGULATORY LANDSCAPE

Collaborative combat aircraft are designed to carry weapons under autonomy software, and that puts them inside the US policy on autonomy in weapon systems. The Congressional Research Service summarises Department of Defense Directive 3000.09, most recently updated in January 2023, as defining lethal autonomous weapon systems as weapon systems that, once activated, can select and engage targets without further intervention by a human operator, and as requiring that systems be designed to allow commanders and operators to exercise appropriate levels of human judgment over the use of force. The Air Force's own description of the YFQ-48A as semi-autonomous, and the concept of pairing CCAs with crewed fighters, put a human in the formation; whether that meets the directive's standard in practice is not settled in the sources reviewed for this page. Internationally, states parties to the Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons have referred lethal autonomy to a Group of Governmental Experts.

KEY PLAYERS

General Atomics Aeronautical Systems

FQ-42A. Awarded a CCA Increment 1 engineering and manufacturing development and production contract on 17 June 2026.

Anduril Industries

FQ-44A Fury. Awarded a CCA Increment 1 engineering and manufacturing development and production contract on 17 June 2026.

Northrop Grumman

YFQ-48A Talon Blue, internally funded; designated 22 December 2025; first fully autonomous flight reported 3 October 2026; a contender for Increment 2.

Lockheed Martin

Vectis. Building five aircraft including the prototype on its own funds, first flight scheduled for late 2027 (Janes, 7 October 2026).

Boeing

MQ-28 Ghost Bat with Australia. AIM-120 shot at the end of 2025; operational version expected to fly for the RAAF by 2028 (Aviation Week via AIAA).

BAE Systems

Brontanax, the UK's first sovereign collaborative combat aircraft, unveiled at Farnborough on 22 July 2026 and self-funded by FalconWorks.

Helsing

CA-1 Europa, unveiled September 2025; first flight planned for 2027 and service before 2031 (The War Zone).

DRONE INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT

The market is now a production market in the United States, with Australia's MQ-28 expected to fly operationally by 2028 and Europe at the unveiled-prototype stage. The variables that will move the published forecasts are the Increment 1 production rate beyond the at-least-150 aircraft on order, the number and identity of the Increment 2 vendors chosen in 2027, and whether a European air force places the first order for Brontanax, the CA-1 or a Ghost Bat derivative before 2028. The structural risk is autonomy rather than airframes: every aircraft on this page depends on mission software, and the policy line between a semi-autonomous wingman and a lethal autonomous weapon system will be drawn in practice by what the software is permitted to do. The companies to watch are the ones winning engine and autonomy work, because the airframe competition has already shown that two very different companies can build the aircraft.

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FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is a collaborative combat aircraft?

A collaborative combat aircraft (CCA) is a large uncrewed jet designed to fly alongside crewed fighters as an autonomous or semi-autonomous wingman, carrying sensors, weapons or electronic-attack payloads at a fraction of a fighter's cost. The Congressional Research Service describes CCAs as large uncrewed aircraft powered by jet engines. The US Air Force's notional plan is two CCAs for each of about 500 advanced crewed fighters.

How big is the collaborative combat aircraft market?

SNS Insider values it at USD 900.0 million in 2025, rising to USD 2,795.3 million by 2035 at a 12.0% CAGR. MarketsandMarkets estimates approximately USD 0.9 billion in 2025 reaching around USD 2.8 billion by 2035. Both are vendor forecasts, and the classified value of the US Air Force's June 2026 production contracts cannot be checked against either.

Which companies are building collaborative combat aircraft?

General Atomics (FQ-42A) and Anduril (FQ-44A) hold the US Air Force Increment 1 production contracts awarded 17 June 2026. Northrop Grumman (YFQ-48A Talon Blue) and Lockheed Martin (Vectis) are self-funding aircraft, and Boeing's MQ-28 Ghost Bat is being developed with Australia. In Europe, BAE Systems unveiled Brontanax in July 2026 and Helsing the CA-1 Europa in September 2025.

How much does a collaborative combat aircraft cost?

The US Air Force says it is meeting or exceeding its goal of one-third the cost of an F-35, or roughly less than USD 30 million per tail for Increment 1, according to Air & Space Forces Magazine. The total value of the two production contracts is classified.

What is CCA Increment 2?

The second batch of US Air Force collaborative combat aircraft. As of July 2026 nine unnamed vendors were in a concept-refinement phase with about 10 months to run, the Air Force was aiming for roughly six vendors in early prototyping in 2027, and more than 20 companies in the vendor pool were eligible for the design phase. The Air Force describes Increment 2 aircraft as optionally attritable and is considering clean-sheet engines.

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ABOUT THIS PAGE

Prepared by
Drone Intelligence
Last verified
14 October 2026
Sources
12 sources, listed above
Status
Factual claims are attributed to the sources listed above. Where we give our own assessment, the text says so.
Corrections
Email editor@droneintelligence.ai with the page URL and the source you believe contradicts the claim.

Prepared under the Drone Intelligence methodology. Editorial decisions follow our editorial policy. Independence and disclosure standards at ethics.

CITE AS

“Collaborative Combat Aircraft Market 2026: CCA Programmes” Drone Intelligence, 14 October 2026. https://droneintelligence.ai/intelligence/collaborative-combat-aircraft-market

Drone Intelligence, Market Intelligence. Updated Q4 2026.

info@droneintelligence.ai

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